Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 12.780397 14.669484 16.690623 19.008102 21.585874 24.359077 27.561971
2025-07-20 10.269845 12.835693 15.770747 19.353976 23.586461 28.402007 34.269243
2025-07-27 8.655721 11.552433 15.038827 19.498268 25.000844 31.515975 39.756126
2025-08-03 7.217731 10.215355 13.989011 19.015050 25.451918 33.332278 43.611753
2025-08-10 6.152572 9.186167 13.163054 18.653264 25.917050 35.069681 47.326955
2025-08-17 5.285145 8.299889 12.404763 18.262191 26.244396 36.565901 50.715468
2025-08-24 4.586147 7.557462 11.750677 17.921333 26.562248 38.001638 54.017555
2025-08-31 3.938688 6.809832 11.007610 17.373361 26.524225 38.913796 56.609000
2025-09-07 3.561595 6.425523 10.744916 17.468057 27.352560 40.993359 60.805725
2025-09-14 3.214846 6.047804 10.451997 17.481655 28.041276 42.879633 64.774656
2025-09-21 2.952157 5.776498 10.293233 17.671764 28.975381 45.121932 69.289127
2025-09-28 2.678871 5.456038 10.026066 17.666934 29.602677 46.929648 73.227487
2025-10-05 2.513382 5.310304 10.033937 18.098328 30.916582 49.792869 78.796153
2025-10-12 2.343631 5.138265 9.982332 18.425429 32.077183 52.464097 84.164773
2025-10-19 2.158757 4.916708 9.825898 18.563876 32.937351 54.703907 88.953665
2025-10-26 1.899008 4.520273 9.330803 18.099952 32.807123 55.430272 91.501501
2025-11-02 1.686009 4.190204 8.923879 17.752666 32.835334 56.381363 94.392787
2025-11-09 1.493014 3.876805 8.519141 17.377321 32.788417 57.198603 97.085393
2025-11-16 1.327200 3.599828 8.157609 17.050217 32.796455 58.087731 99.895999
2025-11-23 1.157239 3.290362 7.705134 16.524451 32.433178 58.360379 101.739179
2025-11-30 1.069747 3.158915 7.592363 16.615302 33.129107 60.348971 106.316949
2025-12-07 0.982436 3.016407 7.444603 16.628347 33.683587 62.116450 110.581140
2025-12-14 0.918180 2.922192 7.388432 16.810747 34.540637 64.400128 115.720567